Whilst looking up Black Swan, I ran across the "Black Swan Theory" made by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. It explains 3 things, but one kind of stood out.Quote:
Originally Posted by VinnyT
i.e This movie is a "rare event" that is "beyond the realm of normal expectations." Perhaps the people who made this movie were so certain that this movie would be near perfection that they named it after a theory that explains things such as this movie. Or, they made the movie without a definite title (as they probably did), and after seeing the finished product, they were so convinced that this was near-perfection that they decided to name it after a theory that explains things such as this movie.Quote:
From Wikipedia:
1.The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard to predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology.
The second part is as follows
This doesn't fit the bill quite as well as the first, but the creators of the film probably thought that the success/perfection was uncertain and could not be figured out. They put what they had towards what could become a terrible, major flop without any way of knowing if it were to be one. This title could have been made before the movie was finished as a way of the creators saying "We don't know if it'll be any good."Quote:
From Wikipedia
2.The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to their very nature of small probabilities)
The third part is as follows
This one doesn't really fit the bill much. It could be saying that people would biasedly dismiss this film due to some individual or collective thought, regardless of how great of a film it is and how it could be a historically great film to be known as such for years and years to come. If so, then they would have titled the movie this after they finished it because they'd have to know if the movie was great to this extent or not.Quote:
From Wikipedia
3.The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs.
Or, could have nothing to do with the title, but Natalie Portman's character instead. Perhaps her character did amazing things no one expected, had a huge impact on history, and what she did was highly improbable for her to do or was totally unpredictable by probability.
Or, it's just the character's stage name or something. Perhaps she was given this stage name because of something to do with the above paragraph.
Or, it has nothing to do with the "Black Swan Theory," but the "black swan problem" made by Karl Popper as part of his research in falsifiability. The "black swan problem" is an example of inductive categorical inference. Basically, Popper says that "There is a white swan" does not mean all swans in the universe are white, and that a single observation of a black swan shows this statement as false. I don't know how this fits into the movie, but I've never seen.
Then again, I'm probably just over-thinking things. :D
