Originally Posted by
sketch
To quote Malcolm Reynolds, that advertisement is seriously "weak tea".
In all honesty, I think all three console makers face an uphill battle this generation. The last generation saw three viable, nearly equivalent consoles (in unit sales), something that's never really happened before. There's usually been a dominant console, and maybe a decent also-ran, with someone bringing up the rear. This last generation, Nintendo blew the doors off of the 360 and PS3, only to see the latter two consoles slowly catch up later in the race. I think the Wii is near death and the PS3 and 360 are still pushing units (my perception, haven't looked into the actual numbers). I think the consoles split between Wii/360/PS3 is something like 100/70/70 million units.
The gaming landscape has changed, with casual gamers flocking to phones, ipods/mini tablets, and tablets, and with the advent of Steambox, there will be even more choices for the gaming
wallet (which has likely shrank due to the state of the global economy). The result? It's going to be rougher for all of the console manufacturers. I think there's nowhere to go but down, and to me, Nintendo is off to a poor start. That does not bode well for their console this generation, as they needed another blowout start to hold off what will likely be the technically superior Sony and Microsoft offerings. As for Sony and MS, they face the problem of being too identical. Despite Kinect, I think the new consoles will be fundamentally the same and therefore, it may just boil down to killer apps (these are hard to come by as most games are multiplatform these days). The one to be hurt the most by this is Sony. They have been bleeding money for years now and can't really take another prolonged console war. Microsoft and Nintendo have bigger war chests (and
Nintendo still can rely on steady, if not somewhat diminished, handheld strength), so the ultimate loser may end up being Sony.