Best Buy is having quite a few "top" tier Nintendo games for $29.99 (50% off)such as XCX, Mario Maker, Star Fox, etc.., If that isn't the writing on the wall for the Wii U, nothing else can be said.
Yup, this is pretty much it. I started to feel Nintendo's descent around the N64 era when they lost a meaningful amount of system selling 3rd party IP and releases to the PS, but the seeds were sown the generation before. The N64 is when Nintendo started to really lose it's grip on the gamer, and it's been a downward spiral ever since.
With the handheld market quickly depleting, Nintendo is running out of an audience to sell their hardware to - So much so that they're trying to merge their audience into one product (the NX). It's a dangerous time for Nintendo. The NX isn't likely to be much more powerful (if at all) than the WiiU - essentially making another WiiU, but with portability instead of a tablet as it's selling point - so, it's still going to miss the vast majority of the 3rd party games that XB and PS owners are going to get. It would be a powerful handheld, but price it too high, and it'll bump into the same kind of problems that the Sony Vita bumped into.
No doubt, I like the premise of the NX much more than I did the WiiU, but now it feels like a product that should have released instead of the WiiU. For this to be a success, I think this needs to be sold in the $200-$250 ballpark, but I really don't see that happening as Nintendo is still ludicrously selling the WiiU at $300 - That price will obviously drop soon enough, but the NX is likely to replace it at that price point (or something close to it).
I'm trying to imagine the collective support that the 3DS and the WiiU got as the kind of support that the NX is likely to get. Pokemon is going to sell the thing, but if I had to guess, it's not going to reach 3DS sales numbers as the NX can't possibly reach the $100-$150 selling point that the 3DS/2DS could. Hmmmm...this could get ugly, and just might be the last hardware that Nintendo produces if they make too many missteps. The number of people willing to buy their home consoles has diminished to such a point that it's not even worth it anymore. Their handheld audience is all that's really left. I think it'll sell more than the Gamecube, but less than the 3DS, and THAT will be their collective audience.
After that, it would probably be a good idea to blow the whole thing up, and start all over...or just go 3rd party. If they want to stay in the console space, they need to create a new fanbase, and hire a new developers capable of attracting that new fanbase.
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